Colorado vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 22, 2024, 1:16 PM

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Kansas player number 6 about to throw a NFL game ball.

(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)

Colorado is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Kansas
Colorado vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

The Colorado Buffaloes (8-2) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (4-6) on Nov. 23 in Kansas City, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Colorado vs. Kansas Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Colorado vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Colorado	-2.5 -115	59.5 -110	-135
Kansas	+2.5 -105	59.5 -110	+115

Colorado vs Kansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and Kansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Colorado have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 16% ROI)

Kansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Bets Today

Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Isaiah Augustave has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 90% ROI)
Jalon Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Jalon Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Quentin Skinner has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.85 Units / 53.67% ROI).

Colorado is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 41.19% ROI
Colorado is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
Colorado is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.65 Units / -23.98% ROI).

Kansas is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -46.55% ROI
Kansas is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Kansas is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Colorado is 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Colorado is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .635

Colorado is 6-5 (.545) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .428

Colorado is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .610

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Kansas is 3-5 (.375) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .601

Kansas is 11-3 (.786) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .536

Kansas is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Kansas is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .537

Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. Kansas

Kansas’s TEs has 23 receptions in 10 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s RBs has averaged 10.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-best among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 10.5 RAC to RBs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has gained 1,551 yards on 102 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 387 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s TEs has 8 receptions in 7 games (just 1.1 per game) this season — worst among P5 TEs. Kansas’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s RBs has averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch this season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado TEs have no touchdowns on 8 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7

Colorado Skill Players have averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (768 yards/93 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.5

Colorado WRs have averaged just 9.5 yards per reception (709 yards/75 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.8

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s RBs has averaged 10.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-best among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 10.5 RAC to RBs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas WRs have averaged 18.9 yards per reception (739 yards/39 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 14.7 yards per reception (5,157 yards/350 catches) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has averaged 3.3 sacks per game this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Colorado has allowed 48.5 receiving yards per game (485/10) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.1

Colorado has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (33/313) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado has sacked opponents 33 times this season– most in the Big 12

Colorado has averaged 2.8 sacks per game since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 2.0

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 20% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 8%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 349 carries (43.6 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 25.2