- Fresno St is a -3 point favorite vs. Colorado St
- Colorado State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Colorado State Rams (7-3) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.
Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Colorado State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Colorado State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colorado State | +3 -110 | 46.5 -105 | +135 |
| Fresno State | -3 -110 | 46.5 -115 | -165 |
Colorado State vs Fresno State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Colorado State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Fresno St vs Colorado St and all games with BetMGM
Colorado State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Colorado State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Raylen Sharpe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado St is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.65 Units / 33.03% ROI).
- Colorado State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 18.93% ROI
- Colorado State is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- Colorado State is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).
- Fresno State is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -14.84% ROI
- Fresno State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Fresno State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Colorado State is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Colorado State is 9-7 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401
Colorado State is 3-1 (.750) when not losing a fumble this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .530
Colorado State is 9-7 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State
Fresno State is 8-8 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380
Fresno State is 10-2 (.833) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566
Fresno State is 9-2 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .635
Fresno State is 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .712
Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Fresno State
Fresno State’s WRs has 156 receptions in 10 games (15.6 per game) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 14.9 receptions per game to WRs this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State has 229 receptions in 10 games (22.9 per game) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s RBs has 44 receptions in 10 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 3.6 RAC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs have just 15.4 receiving yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State Skill Players have fumbled 7 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Colorado State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 3.6 RAC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Skill Players caught 14 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State QBs have averaged just -3.3 Yards per Carry (-166 yards/50 carries) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1
Fresno State RBs have 16 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (240 yards/69 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Fresno State RBs have averaged just 3.9 Yards per Carry (940 yards/238 carries) this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Fresno State QBs have averaged just -1.6 Yards per Carry (-184 yards/118 carries) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.0
Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State has averaged a sack every 31.4 pass attempts (345 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
Colorado State has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Colorado State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/345) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Colorado State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (278 completions/388 attempts) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (489 completions/733 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 63 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 63 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 28 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (19 completions/49 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (407 completions/744 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
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