- East Carolina is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
- Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Florida Atlantic Owls (2-6) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (4-4) on Nov. 7 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Florida Atlantic | +7.5 -110 | 57.5 -105 | +230 |
East Carolina | -7.5 -110 | 57.5 -115 | -300 |
Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+0.20 Units / 7% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida Atlantic players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida Atlantic Player Prop Bets Today
- Zuberi Mobley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -28% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -65.81% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI).
- East Carolina is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -28.75% ROI
- East Carolina is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.52% ROI
- East Carolina is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.35 Units / -4% ROI
Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .270
Florida Atlantic is 3-12 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .358
Florida Atlantic is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Florida Atlantic is 4-8 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .537
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .449
East Carolina is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
East Carolina is 3-14 (.176) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .456
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina
East Carolina’s offense has averaged 2.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Skill Players have no touchdowns on 22 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Florida Atlantic has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic WRs have just one touchdown on 50 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 9th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
East Carolina Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (208 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
East Carolina’s offense has averaged 2.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3
Florida Atlantic has sacked opposing QBs just once on 61 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.6
Florida Atlantic allowed 377.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 157.1
Florida Atlantic allowed 377.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 165.1
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 163 of 787 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 28%
East Carolina has allowed first downs on 18% of rush attempts since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23%
East Carolina has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 29%
East Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 57% (147 completions/256 attempts) this season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: 61%
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