- The Tennessee is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Florida
- The Florida vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Florida Gators (3-2) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Florida vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Florida vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | +15.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +500 |
| Tennessee | -15.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -700 |
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 86.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Florida have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida Player Prop Bets Today
- Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kahleil Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eugene Wilson III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.49% ROI).
- Florida is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -22.22% ROI
- Florida is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Florida is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 67.42% ROI).
- Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 17.7% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.97% ROI
- Tennessee is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -75.28% ROI
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Florida is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Florida is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Tennessee is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .760
Tennessee is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .793
Tennessee is 13-2 (.867) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690
Tennessee is 13-3 (.812) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .683
Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Tennessee
Tennessee’s WRs has gained 987 yards on 66 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee has gained 1,259 yards on 94 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.9% of 550 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.7% of 136 attempts this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,058 yards on 66 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.7% of 136 attempts this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,058 yards on 66 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,058 yards on 66 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 11.7 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee’s WRs has gained 987 yards on 66 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee has gained 1,259 yards on 94 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Tennessee RBs have averaged 234.2 rushing yards per game (1,171/5) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.2
Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.9% of 550 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 3,443 yards on 563 carries (6.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Florida’s defense have allowed 4.5 YPC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 22 of 467 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Florida has intercepted 5 of 467 attempts (93.4 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.6
Florida sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (5/22) last week– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6%
Florida has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 23 of 142 attempts (16%) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Florida has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee has allowed one passing TD (126 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.6
Tennessee has allowed one passing TD (126 pass attempts) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 21.7
Tennessee has allowed one touchdown on 76 completions this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 13.1
Tennessee has allowed one touchdown on 76 completions this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Tennessee has allowed 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,138 yards / 249 touches) this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6.7
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