Georgia State vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

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Appalachian State running back Kanye Roberts (14) runs towards the corner of the endzone during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Jason Allen)
(AP Photo/Jason Allen)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 4:10 PM
  • The Appalachian State is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Georgia State
  • The Georgia State vs. Appalachian State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Georgia State Panthers (2-4) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-4) on Oct. 26 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.

Appalachian State is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Georgia State vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

Bet now on Appalachian State vs Georgia State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Georgia State vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia State+7.5 -10562.5 -105+240
Appalachian State -7.5 -11562.5 -115-300

Georgia State vs Appalachian State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 71.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia State and Appalachian State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia State vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 74.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Appalachian State vs Georgia State and all games with BetMGM


  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dorian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ted Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Georgia State is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -38.33% ROI
  • Georgia State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Georgia State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -35.82% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -69.39% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Georgia State is 1-10 (.091) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .458

Georgia State is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .540

Georgia State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Georgia State is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .541

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

Appalachian State is 9-5 (.643) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 38th-best in FBS; Average: .531

Appalachian State is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .629

Appalachian State is 3-6 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .478

Appalachian State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .676

Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State’s WRs has 308 receptions in 20 games (15.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has 308 receptions in 20 games (15.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 5,589 passing yards in 20 games (279.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 258.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 240 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 240 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 5.7 times per game (34/6) in the 2nd half this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

Georgia State’s WRs has averaged just 11.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State’s WRs has 308 receptions in 20 games (15.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has 308 receptions in 20 games (15.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 5,589 passing yards in 20 games (279.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 258.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Appalachian State has 440 receptions in 20 games (22.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 29th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 4,437 yards on 308 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (23 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (23 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (39 completions/58 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (11 completions/14 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 53%

Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has allowed 6.5 touchdowns per interception (13 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 21 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 21 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 26 of 222 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Appalachian State opponents has averaged just 11.3 Passing Attempts per TD (147 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 21.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.