As online sports betting continues to explode in popularity, many prospective bettors are curious about the basic fundamentals of how often favorites win or lose.
Some bettors – including myself – like to build moneyline parlays (like my 2Kparlay) using college football favorites. But how wise is that, according to the odds history?
I ran the numbers to find out.
How Often Do Favorites Win In College Football Betting?
Since 2005, college football teams who play as favorites in the regular season win 74.9% of the time.
Since 2018, when the US Supreme Court overturned PASPA, favorites have won at a slightly less frequent rate of 74.4%.
So, yes, college football favorites win about three out of every four games. But bettors should still handle the college football odds market with care, even when dealing with moneylines. Blind-betting favorite still results in negative ROI.
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