- Illinois is a -1 point favorite vs. Rutgers
- Illinois vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: PEAC
The Illinois Fighting Illini (7-3) visit SHI Stadium to take on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6-4) on Nov. 23 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Illinois vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | -1 -110 | 48.5 -115 | -115 |
| Rutgers | +1 -110 | 48.5 -105 | -105 |
Illinois vs Rutgers Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Rutgers will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Illinois vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rutgers will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.90 Units / 1% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.55 Units / 3% ROI)
Rutgers Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Rutgers has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Tanner Arkin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Josh McCray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaden Feagin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Rutgers players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rutgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Dymere Miller has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kyle Monangai has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 25.11% ROI).
- Illinois is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 5.47% ROI
- Illinois is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- Illinois is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers
Illinois is 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .583
Illinois is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .650
Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: .641
Illinois is 12-4 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .619
Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Rutgers is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 27th-worst in FBS; Average: .445
Rutgers is 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .434
Rutgers is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .284
Rutgers is 11-2 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .752
Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Rutgers
Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,829 yards on 125 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,829 yards on 125 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,829 yards on 125 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 19 receptions (just 8.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 10 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — T-worst among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 10 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — T-worst among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois’s TEs has gained 157 yards on 19 receptions (just 8.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 10 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — T-worst among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 10 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — T-worst among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 21.6 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois Skill Players have just one touchdown on 45 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
Illinois WRs have 21 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends
Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,829 yards on 125 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Rutgers Skill Players have averaged 18.2 yards per reception (584 yards/32 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7
Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,829 yards on 125 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Rutgers TEs have averaged just 7.2 yards per reception (325 yards/45 catches) since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8
Rutgers’s WRs has gained 1,829 yards on 125 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 44 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.
Illinois has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (41 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 37 of 334 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 37 of 334 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 44 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 64 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.5
Rutgers allowed 16 first down receptions last week– most in the Big Ten
Rutgers has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 27 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Rutgers has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 27 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
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