James Madison vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Old Dominion's Grant Wilson (13) runs the ball against Liberty during the second half an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Lynchburg, Va. (AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
(AP Photo/Robert Simmons)
  • James Madison is a -3 point favorite vs. Old Dominion
  • James Madison vs. Old Dominion Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The James Madison Dukes (7-2) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on the Old Dominion Monarchs (4-5) on Nov. 16 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The James Madison vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Old Dominion vs James Madison & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

James Madison vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
James Madison-3 -11051.5 -110-150
Old Dominion +3 -11051.5 -110+125

James Madison vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 61.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and Old Dominion, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

James Madison vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Old Dominion will cover the spread with 65.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Old Dominion vs James Madison and all games with BetMGM


  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for James Madison players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best James Madison Player Prop Bets Today

  • Omarion Dollison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylor Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Alonza Barnett III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Old Dominion players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Old Dominion Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Colton Joseph has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.65 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Colton Joseph has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Colton Joseph has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Diante Vines has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Isiah Paige has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • James Madison is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.13% ROI
  • James Madison is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
  • James Madison is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 32.65% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

James Madison is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .580

James Madison is 14-1 (.933) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

James Madison is 11-2 (.846) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401

James Madison is undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .488

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Old Dominion is 8-3 (.727) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .522

Old Dominion is 2-9 (.182) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .440

Old Dominion is 8-8 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379

Old Dominion is 8-8 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Old Dominion

Old Dominion has gained 1,752 yards on 158 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 269 attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has rushed for 573 yards on 119 carries (4.8 YPC) this season — T-17th-best among FBS teams. James Madison’s defense have allowed just 3.5 YPC this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Taylor Thompson (JM) has gained 20 or more yards on 22.2% of 27 receptions this season — 9th-best of Qualified Tight Ends. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed 20+ yards on 20.0% of receptions this season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (157 yards/7 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1

James Madison RBs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

James Madison TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

James Madison WRs have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (581 yards/30 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5

James Madison WRs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (106 yards/15 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion has gained 1,752 yards on 158 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (87/628) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 269 attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion QBs have fumbled 9 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion WRs have averaged just 8.5 yards per reception (237 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 19 rushing attempts (37% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

James Madison has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 297 carries (49.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.8

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 19 rushing attempts (37% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

James Madison has averaged 3.2 sacks per game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

James Madison has averaged 1.78 interceptions per game (16/9) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.78

Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (33/734) since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Old Dominion has allowed 21 rushing TDs on 149 carries (7.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Old Dominion has allowed 21 rushing TDs on 149 carries (7.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Old Dominion has allowed 25 rushing TDs on 884 carries (35.4 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7

Old Dominion has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 23 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.