Kansas vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Illinois head coach Bret Bielema watches from the sideline during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Iowa, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 15-13. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • Kansas is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Illinois
  • Kansas vs. Illinois Total(Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Kansas Jayhawks (1-0) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Kansas vs. Illinois Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas-5.5 -11555.5 -110-225
Illinois +5.5 -10555.5 -110+185

Kansas vs Illinois Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Kansas vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 71.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Illinois and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

          Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

          Kansas is 9-2 (.643) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– T-5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .448

          Kansas is 3-7 (.231) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .339

          Kansas was 8-2 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .511

          Kansas is 10-3 (.714) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .594

          Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

          Illinois is 3-10 (.231) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .497

          Illinois was 6-2 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .542

          Illinois is 2-1 (.667) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2022 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439

          Illinois is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .567

          Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Illinois

          Illinois’s TEs gained 385 yards on 35 receptions (11.0 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Kansas’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

          Illinois’s offense threw for 3,196 passing yards in 12 games (266.3 YPG) last season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed just 216.7 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

          Illinois’s QBs threw for 3,182 passing yards in 12 games (265.2 YPG) last season — 31st-best among FBS teams. Kansas’s defense allowed just 216.7 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

          Kansas’s WRs gained 2,212 yards on 126 receptions (17.6 YPR) last season — best among Big 12 WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 11.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

          Kansas’s TEs had 48.2 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Illinois’s defense allowed 227.3 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

          Kansas’s RBs averaged 8.8 yards after the catch last season — T-33rd-best among FBS RBs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

          Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

          Kansas WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (1,149 yards/60 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.6

          Kansas WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (1,149 yards/60 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4

          Kansas Skill Players have averaged 16.4 yards per reception (1,441 yards/88 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.3

          Kansas Skill Players have averaged 14.5 yards per reception (6,455 yards/446 catches) since the 2022 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

          Kansas WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (1,149 yards/60 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

          Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

          Illinois’s TEs gained 385 yards on 35 receptions (11.0 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Kansas’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

          Illinois’s offense threw for 3,196 passing yards in 12 games (266.3 YPG) last season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed just 216.7 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

          Illinois went for two on 23% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

          Illinois’s QBs threw for 3,182 passing yards in 12 games (265.2 YPG) last season — 31st-best among FBS teams. Kansas’s defense allowed just 216.7 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

          Illinois gained 3,196 yards on 261 receptions (12.2 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Kansas’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

          Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

          Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

          Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

          Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

          Kansas has allowed opponents to catch 79 of 116 passes (68% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

          Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 127 of 1,062 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

          Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

          Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (54 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

          Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (54 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

          Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (54 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 50%

          Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on 24 of 117 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.

          Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (28 completions/71 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 55%


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