- The Kansas State is a -3.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
- The Kansas State vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Kansas State Wildcats (5-1) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (3-3) on Oct. 19 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Kansas State vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kansas State | -3.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -165 |
| West Virginia | +3.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +140 |
Kansas State vs West Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas State vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 68.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jayce Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jaden Bray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kole Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -36.15% ROI).
- Kansas State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 9.3% ROI
- Kansas State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kansas State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.09% ROI).
- West Virginia is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -19.44% ROI
- West Virginia is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- West Virginia is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Kansas State is 14-5 (.737) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 38th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Kansas State is 13-4 (.765) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: .534
Kansas State is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .645
Kansas State is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .451
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
West Virginia is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .534
West Virginia is 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .506
West Virginia is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702
West Virginia is 10-4 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. West Virginia
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 163 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 970 yards on 62 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 163 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 1,139 passing yards in 6 games (just 189.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 1,139 passing yards in 6 games (just 189.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State have just 189.8 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 247.0 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 16.3 yards per reception (293 yards/18 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.8
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 1,139 passing yards in 6 games (just 189.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 1,139 passing yards in 6 games (just 189.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-worst among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 163 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 970 yards on 62 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
West Virginia Skill Players have caught just 1 of 8 passes (12% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 66%
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 163 attempts this season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.1% of attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s TEs has 24 receptions in 6 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (184 yards / 77 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
Kansas State tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Kansas State allowed just -1.5 Yards per Carry (-29 yards/19 carries) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.8
Kansas State allowed 388 Passing Yards last week– most in the Big 12
Kansas State allowed just -1.5 Yards per Carry (-29 yards/19 carries) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.3
West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia has forced 5 fumbles on 658 carries (131.6 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.8
West Virginia has forced 5 fumbles on 658 carries (131.6 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.6
West Virginia has forced 5 fumbles on 658 carries (131.6 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 47.5
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 162 attempts (6%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
West Virginia has forced one fumble on 219 carries this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 51.6
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