- Texas is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky
- Kentucky vs. Texas Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Kentucky Wildcats (4-6) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (9-1) on Nov. 23 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Kentucky vs. Texas Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas vs Kentucky & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Kentucky vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kentucky | +20.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | +900 |
| Texas | -20.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | -1600 |
Kentucky vs Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 92.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kentucky vs Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Texas vs Kentucky and all games with BetMGM
Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
- Brock Vandagriff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Barion Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Brock Vandagriff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Quintrevion Wisner has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Kentucky is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -8.47% ROI
- Kentucky is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Kentucky is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Texas is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 0.49% ROI
- Texas is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
- Texas is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Texas
Kentucky is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450
Kentucky is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .434
Kentucky is 3-10 (.231) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488
Kentucky is 6-2 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .624
Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Texas is 14-1 (.933) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Texas is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .598
Texas is 14-1 (.933) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .526
Texas is 14-2 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Texas
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 343 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 343 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas’s TEs has 48 receptions in 10 games (4.8 per game) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 1,834 passing yards in 10 games (just 183.4 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 136.5 passing yards per game this season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has gained 1,448 yards on 100 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has gained 1,448 yards on 100 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 1,834 passing yards in 10 games (just 183.4 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 136.5 passing yards per game this season — best among SEC defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has gained 1,448 yards on 100 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Kentucky TEs averaged 19.9 yards per reception (576 yards/29 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Kentucky’s WRs has gained 1,448 yards on 100 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas WRs have averaged 22.3 yards per reception (757 yards/34 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 343 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 343 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Texas WRs have averaged 22.3 yards per reception (757 yards/34 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Texas’s TEs has 48 receptions in 10 games (4.8 per game) this season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky has sacked opponents 11 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in the SEC
Kentucky tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 26 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 62 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 16%.
Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 62 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 143 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas has allowed just 8.2 yards per completion (1,365 yards/167 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.6
Texas has allowed just 8.2 yards per completion (1,365 yards/167 completions) this season– best in FBS; Average: 11.8
Texas opponents has averaged 95.7 Passing Attempts per TD (287 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
Texas opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Texas opponents has averaged 95.7 Passing Attempts per TD (287 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 26.3
Bet now on Texas vs Kentucky and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
