NC State vs Georgia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

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Georgia Tech's LaMiles Brooks (20) defends during the first half of an NCAA football game against Clemson on Monday, Sept. 5, 2022, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/Stew Milne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 21, 2024, 10:18 AM
  • Georgia Tech is a -9 point favorite vs. NC State
  • North Carolina State vs. Georgia Tech Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (5-5) visit Bobby Dodd Stadium at Hyundai Field to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-4) on Nov. 21 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Georgia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. Georgia Tech Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia Tech vs NC State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

North Carolina State vs. Georgia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+9 -11052.5 -110+270
Georgia Tech -9 -11052.5 -110-350

North Carolina State vs Georgia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Tech will win this game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Georgia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

North Carolina State vs Georgia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Tech will cover the spread with 73.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Georgia Tech vs NC State and all games with BetMGM


  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.80 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best North Carolina State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Grayson McCall has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan Waters has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Grayson McCall has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Haynes King has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jamal Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eric Singleton Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Malik Rutherford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Haynes King has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 46% ROI)

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -51.58% ROI).

  • North Carolina State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.55 Units / 14.03% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.74% ROI

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 5.94% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 16.52% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

North Carolina State is winless (0-3) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508

North Carolina State is 1-5 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .521

North Carolina State is 3-6 (.333) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .439

North Carolina State is 8-3 (.727) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

Georgia Tech is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .511

Georgia Tech is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .618

Georgia Tech is 11-1 (.917) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia Tech is winless (0-4) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Matchup Notes for North Carolina State vs. Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech’s QBs has 1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-7th-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 1.9 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s QBs has rushed for 597 yards on 124 carries (4.8 YPC) this season — T-16th-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed 4.4 YPC this season — T-4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Haynes King (GT) has 19 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — 2nd-most of Qualified ACC Quarterbacks. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 22 passing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — T-3rd-most among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 583 yards on 36 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 315 attempts this season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.7% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 583 yards on 36 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among P5 TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (691 yards/40 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

North Carolina State TEs have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (154 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

North Carolina State RBs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State TEs have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (154 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 20 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7

Georgia Tech Skill Players have been targeted 79 times in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia Tech WRs have been targeted 57 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 20 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Georgia Tech WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 18 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 18 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (27 completions/39 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 90 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 24th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 148 of 696 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has intercepted 2 of 307 attempts (153.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Georgia Tech has intercepted 2 of 307 attempts (153.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.2

Georgia Tech has allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (16 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Georgia Tech has allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (16 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Georgia Tech has averaged 0.20 interceptions per game (2/10) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.89


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.