- The North Texas is a -7 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
- The North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The North Texas Mean Green (4-1) visit FAU Stadium to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (2-3) on Oct. 12 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-105).
The North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | -7 -105 | 60.5 -110 | -250 |
| Florida Atlantic | +7 -115 | 60.5 -110 | +200 |
North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.85 Units / 15.6% ROI).
- North Texas is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 40.58% ROI
- North Texas is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.85 Units / 51.35% ROI
- North Texas is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -62.39% ROI
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -23.71% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
- Florida Atlantic is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .588
North Texas is 7-2 (.778) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .599
North Texas is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .632
North Texas is 1-5 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .261
Florida Atlantic is 5-5 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
Florida Atlantic is 4-11 (.267) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Florida Atlantic is 1-9 (.100) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 539 attempts since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 814 passing yards in 5 games (just 162.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 265.6 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,712 passing yards in 5 games (342.4 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,712 passing yards in 5 games (342.4 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 1,743 passing yards in 5 games (348.6 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,712 passing yards in 5 games (342.4 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,712 passing yards in 5 games (342.4 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 1,743 passing yards in 5 games (348.6 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 1,743 passing yards in 5 games (348.6 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 134.4 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas WRs have been targeted 32.4 times per game (551/17) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8
Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 38.5 receptions (77 Rec/2 TDs) this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 539 attempts since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense has thrown for 814 passing yards in 5 games (just 162.8 YPG) this season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 265.6 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs has averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has not forced a fumble (180 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.7
North Texas has not forced a fumble (180 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 42.4
North Texas has allowed 208.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.0
North Texas has allowed first downs on 37% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%
North Texas has allowed 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (53 completions/110 attempts) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (5 completions/18 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (5 completions/18 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Florida Atlantic has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best in FBS; Average: 34%
Florida Atlantic has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35%
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