Ohio vs Kent State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Kent State wide receiver Chrishon McCray (22) gets ready to run a play against Arkansas during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept.9, 2023, in Fayetteville, Ark. (AP Photo/Michael Woods)
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 11:40 AM
  • Ohio is a -18.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
  • Ohio vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Ohio Bobcats (5-3) visit Dix Stadium to take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (0-8) on Nov. 6 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Ohio vs. Kent State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio-18.5 -11052.5 -115-1000
Kent State +18.5 -11052.5 -105+625

Ohio vs Kent State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 90.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and Kent State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Kent State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 84.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.52% ROI).

  • Ohio is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Ohio is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Ohio is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Kent State is 0-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kent State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Kent State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Ohio is 8-1 (.889) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Ohio is 12-2 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Ohio is 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

Ohio is 14-3 (.824) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Kent State is winless (0-4) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Kent State is 1-16 (.059) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .623

Kent State is 1-14 (.067) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Kent State is 1-14 (.067) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .538

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Kent State

Kent State’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.

Kent State’s QBs has thrown for 3,356 passing yards in 20 games (just 167.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 196.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio TEs have no touchdowns on 11 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7

Ohio’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s offense has thrown for 1,445 passing yards in 8 games (just 180.6 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed 277.4 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (193 yards / 81 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (179 yards/79 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Kent State’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS WRs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 33 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.0 Yards per Carry (63 yards/32 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 139 of 617 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 17 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Ohio has allowed 298.1 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 385.6

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed 16 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Kent State has allowed 16 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Kent State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has forced 7 fumbles on 817 carries (116.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.8


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