Rice vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Memphis quarterback Seth Henigan (5) looks to pass during the second half of the First Responder Bowl NCAA college football game against Utah State, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Dallas. (AP Photo/Sam Hodde)
(AP Photo/Sam Hodde)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 11:45 AM
  • Memphis is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Rice
  • Rice vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Rice Owls (3-6) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers (7-2) on Nov. 8 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Rice vs. Memphis Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Memphis vs Rice & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Rice vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rice+9.5 -11052.5 -110+280
Memphis -9.5 -11052.5 -110-350

Rice vs Memphis Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rice vs Memphis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 74.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Memphis vs Rice and all games with BetMGM


  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • Rice is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -36.21% ROI
  • Rice is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Rice is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI).

  • Memphis is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.29% ROI
  • Memphis is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Memphis is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Rice is 3-9 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Rice is 5-11 (.312) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .435

Rice is 3-9 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Rice is 6-12 (.333) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Memphis is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .621

Memphis is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .544

Memphis is 12-1 (.923) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Memphis is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. Memphis

Memphis’s WRs has 347 receptions in 22 games (15.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s QBs has thrown for 6,527 passing yards in 22 games (296.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Rice’s defense has allowed just 190.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s WRs has 347 receptions in 22 games (15.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Rice has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice has averaged just 9.2 yards after the catch this season — worst among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice RBs have been targeted 7.6 times per game (168/22) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

Rice RBs were targeted 5 times in the 1st quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Rice has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice RBs have been targeted 8.7 times per game (78/9) this season– 5th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Rice Skill Players have averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (1,930 yards/206 catches) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis’s WRs has 347 receptions in 22 games (15.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s QBs has thrown for 6,527 passing yards in 22 games (296.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Rice’s defense has allowed just 190.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Memphis’s WRs has 347 receptions in 22 games (15.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Memphis QBs have 27 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Memphis has 553 receptions in 22 games (25.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (27/229) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (27/229) this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Rice has allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 50%

Rice has allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 51%

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Memphis allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– T-most in FBS

Memphis did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Memphis has allowed first downs on 32% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%

Memphis did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.