Rice vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 22, 2024, 1:16 PM

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UAB quarterback Jacob Zeno (4) throws a pass against Alabama A&M during an NCAA football game Thursday, Sept. 1, 2022, in Birmingham, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)

(AP Photo/Butch Dill)

Rice is a -6.5 point favorite vs. UAB
Rice vs. UAB Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

The Rice Owls (3-7) visit Protective Stadium to take on the UAB Blazers (2-8) on Nov. 23 in Birmingham, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.

Rice is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Rice vs. UAB Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Rice vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Rice	-6.5 -115	51.5 -115	-250
UAB	+6.5 -105	51.5 -105	+195

Rice vs UAB Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rice will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and UAB, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rice vs UAB Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 68.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Rice Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)

UAB Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rice players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rice Player Prop Bets Today

Kobie Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Matt Sykes has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).

Rice is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -41.27% ROI
Rice is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Rice is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.53% ROI).

UAB is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -8.21% ROI
UAB is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
UAB is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Rice is 3-10 (.231) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Rice is 3-14 (.176) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .405

Rice is 4-14 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Rice is 4-13 (.235) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .381

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

UAB is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

UAB is 2-13 (.133) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

UAB is 3-14 (.176) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

UAB is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .438

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. UAB

UAB’s offense has thrown for 2,656 passing yards in 10 games (265.6 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 159.2 passing yards per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

UAB’s QBs has thrown for 2,594 passing yards in 10 games (259.4 YPG) this season — 33rd-best among FBS teams. Rice’s defense has allowed just 159.2 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s WRs have just 123.6 receiving yards per game this season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 117.7 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s WRs have just 123.6 receiving yards per game this season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 172.7 receiving yards per game this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s RBs has 69 receptions in 10 games (6.9 per game) this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 13.7 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice Skill Players have averaged just 7.2 yards per reception (297 yards/41 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Rice RBs have averaged 7.7 Yards per Carry (284 yards/37 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Rice Skill Players have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (2,176 yards/234 catches) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Rice RBs have averaged 8.5 Yards per Carry (239 yards/28 carries) in close and late situations this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB have 267.0 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 159.2 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (28/260) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Rice has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (138 completions/260 attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Rice has allowed opponents to catch just 138 of 256 passes (54% Reception Pct) this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Rice has allowed 159.2 Passing Yards per game (1,592/10) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 218.6

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS

UAB allowed 4 first down receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 68 rushing attempts (1% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 180 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 35 of 445 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

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