Rutgers vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 13, 2024, 4:35 PM

min read

Maryland head coach Mike Locksley looks on during pre-game warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

Maryland is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
Rutgers vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
TV Channel: FS1

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-4) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (4-5) on Nov. 16 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST.

Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Rutgers vs. Maryland Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Maryland vs Rutgers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Rutgers vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Rutgers	+5.5 -105	51.5 -115	+185
Maryland	-5.5 -115	51.5 -105	-225

Rutgers vs Maryland Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Maryland vs Rutgers and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

Rutgers Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Rutgers has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.30 Units / 105% ROI)
Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)

Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Maryland have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rutgers players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rutgers Player Prop Bets Today

Dymere Miller has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kyle Monangai has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI).

Maryland is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -13.65% ROI
Maryland is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Maryland is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Rutgers is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .472

Rutgers is 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .435

Rutgers is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503

Rutgers is 5-11 (.312) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .457

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Maryland is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .670

Maryland is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .642

Maryland is 3-5 (.375) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .528

Maryland is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .285

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Maryland

Maryland’s WRs has gained 2,038 yards on 173 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s WRs has averaged 30.3 targets per game this season — highest among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland has averaged 41.7 targets per game this season — highest among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has 27 receptions in 9 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 1,890 yards on 148 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has 27 receptions in 9 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (292 yards/15 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged 19.3 yards per reception (560 yards/29 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged just 2.9 yards per reception (29 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.3

Rutgers WRs have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (467 yards/20 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 14.1

Rutgers WRs have averaged 26.2 yards per reception (210 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland Skill Players have averaged 14.0 receptions per game (126/9) in the 2nd half this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.9

Maryland Skill Players have been targeted 21.1 times per game (190/9) in the 2nd half this season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.7

Maryland Skill Players have averaged 27.8 receptions per game (250/9) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.5

Maryland Skill Players have averaged 174.0 receiving yards per game (1,566/9) in the 2nd half this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 105.4

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 58 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.6

Rutgers allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 4 touches) in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.9

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 128 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Rutgers allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 4 touches) in the Red Zone last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 66 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11%.

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 19 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%.

Maryland had no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed last week– T-2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6

Maryland has allowed 12.6 yards per completion (2,389 yards/190 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9

Maryland has allowed 18 TD passes this season– most in the Big Ten