- Boise St is a -23.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The San Diego State Aztecs (3-4) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos (6-1) on Nov. 1 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
Bet now on Boise St vs San Diego State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
San Diego State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +23.5 -110 | 56.5 -115 | +1100 |
| Boise State | -23.5 -110 | 56.5 -105 | -2500 |
San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Boise St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Boise State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 89.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Boise St vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Boise State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+14.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boise State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Maddux Madsen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Matt Lauter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Maddux Madsen has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- San Diego State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -32.26% ROI
- San Diego State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- San Diego State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise St is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 50.32% ROI).
- Boise State is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 5.29% ROI
- Boise State is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Boise State is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State
San Diego State is winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .357
San Diego State is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
San Diego State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .329
San Diego State is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
Boise State is 10-4 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Boise State is winless (0-2) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .334
Boise State is 7-2 (.778) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .660
Boise State is 10-4 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .447
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Boise State
Boise State’s RBs has gained 133 yards on 21 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has 12 receptions in 7 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — 12th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs have just 10.0 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 16.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch this season — 28th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has 12 receptions in 7 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — 12th-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 20.7 receptions per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends
Boise State RBs have averaged 258.4 rushing yards per game (1,809/7) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.0
Boise State RBs have averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,162 yards / 132 touches) on 1st down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Boise State RBs have averaged 7.9 Yards per Carry (1,809 yards/229 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Boise State RBs have averaged 128.4 rushing yards per game (899/7) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 65.0
Boise State RBs have rushed for 7 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (28/228) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
San Diego State has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State has allowed 9.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (602 yards / 64 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
San Diego State has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
San Diego State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts (36/227) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 16% of pass attempts (36/227) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Boise State has averaged 5.1 sacks per game this season– best in FBS; Average: 2.1
Boise State has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (72/668) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Bet now on Boise St vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
