- Utah State is a -4.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State vs. Utah State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The San Diego State Aztecs (3-7) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (3-7) on Nov. 23 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Utah State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (+100).
The San Diego State vs. Utah State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +4.5 -120 | 61.5 -115 | +155 |
| Utah State | -4.5 +100 | 61.5 -105 | -190 |
San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Utah State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Utah State vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Diego State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Diego State Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Napier has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marquez Cooper has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Louis Brown IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nate Bennett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- San Diego State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -55.32% ROI
- San Diego State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- San Diego State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).
- Utah State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -58.72% ROI
- Utah State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Utah State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
San Diego State is winless (0-10) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .313
San Diego State is 2-14 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
San Diego State is 4-12 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .471
San Diego State is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
Utah State is 1-7 (.125) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .439
Utah State is 5-7 (.417) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Utah State is 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .352
Utah State is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Utah State
Utah State’s WRs has averaged 27.9 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has 180 receptions in 10 games (18.0 per game) this season — T-10th-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch this season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 6.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs have just 9.7 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 247.3 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has 17 receptions in 10 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.5 receptions (13 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 6.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State WRs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (195 yards/10 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State RBs have averaged 8.5 Yards per Carry (470 yards/55 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Utah State RBs have averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (501 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Utah State’s WRs has averaged 27.9 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State RBs averaged 9.1 Yards per Carry (299 yards/33 carries) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Utah State WRs have caught 51 touchdown passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (680 yards / 76 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
San Diego State allowed 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (432 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (680 yards / 76 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
San Diego State has forced 4 fumbles on 407 carries (101.8 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.3
San Diego State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State had 5 interceptions last week– most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 18 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State has allowed 17 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State sacked opponents 7 times last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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