South Alabama vs UL Lafayette Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

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Louisiana head coach Michael Desormeaux walks the field before an NCAA college football game against Florida State on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Tallahassee, Fla. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
(AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:40 PM
  • UL Lafayette is a -7 point favorite vs. South Alabama
  • South Alabama vs. Louisiana Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (4-5) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (8-1) on Nov. 16 in Lafayette, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

UL Lafayette is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The South Alabama vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on UL Lafayette vs South Alabama & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

South Alabama vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama+7 -10558.5 -115+220
Louisiana -7 -11558.5 -105-275

South Alabama vs Louisiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 72.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and UL Lafayette, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Alabama vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on UL Lafayette vs South Alabama and all games with BetMGM


  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best South Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gio Lopez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kentrel Bullock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ben Wooldridge has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ben Wooldridge has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Lance LeGendre has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Harvey Broussard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -14.72% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -21.33% ROI
  • South Alabama is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • South Alabama is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Lafayette is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI).

  • Louisiana is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 23.63% ROI
  • Louisiana is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Louisiana is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

South Alabama is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479

South Alabama is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

South Alabama is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .270

South Alabama is 5-9 (.357) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Louisiana is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .674

Louisiana is 14-5 (.737) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .635

Louisiana is 13-5 (.722) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 37th-best in FBS; Average: .637

Louisiana is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .623

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Louisiana

Louisiana’s QBs has thrown for 2,401 passing yards in 9 games (266.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 264.2 passing yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana have 266.8 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 264.2 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s offense has thrown for 2,401 passing yards in 9 games (266.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 264.2 passing yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 1,462 yards on 234 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — 12th-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 1,462 yards on 234 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — 12th-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s QBs has rushed for 449 yards on 82 carries (5.5 YPC) this season — 9th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama RBs have no touchdowns on 31 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.5

South Alabama WRs have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (570 yards/28 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 1,462 yards on 234 carries (6.2 YPC) this season — 12th-best among FBS RBs. Louisiana’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama RBs have averaged 7.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,017 yards / 140 touches) on 1st down this season– T-5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

South Alabama WRs have averaged 17.6 yards per reception (722 yards/41 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses

Louisiana’s QBs has thrown for 2,401 passing yards in 9 games (266.8 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 264.2 passing yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama opponents has averaged 10.3 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents has averaged 6.4 Passing Attempts per TD (51 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

South Alabama opponents has averaged 10.3 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

South Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (13/309) this season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana has allowed just 9.3 yards per completion (1,557 yards/168 completions) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (26 completions/36 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Louisiana has tackled opponents for a loss on just 28 of 301 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Louisiana sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana has allowed just 9.3 yards per completion (1,557 yards/168 completions) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.