- California is a -14 point favorite vs. Stanford
- Stanford vs. California Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Stanford Cardinal (3-7) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
California is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).
The Stanford vs. California Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Stanford vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Stanford | +14 -110 | 54.5 -115 | +425 |
| California | -14 -110 | 54.5 -105 | -600 |
Stanford vs California Prediction:
The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Stanford vs California Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Stanford Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- California have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.90 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today
- Ashton Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Sam Roush has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Ashton Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nyziah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaivian Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stanford is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -32.88% ROI).
- Stanford is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 55.56% ROI
- Stanford is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Stanford is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI).
- California is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -4.86% ROI
- California is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -22.73% ROI
- California is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 15.45% ROI
Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. California
Stanford is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .587
Stanford is 6-13 (.316) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
Stanford is 2-15 (.118) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Stanford is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .529
California: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford
California is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
California is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
California is 6-12 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .483
California is 5-12 (.294) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. California
California’s offense has thrown for 2,738 passing yards in 10 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s QBs has thrown for 2,738 passing yards in 10 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
California has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Stanford’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among ACC defenses.
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 300 attempts this season — T-6th-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.3% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford has just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — worst among ACC skill players. California’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Stanford’s TEs has just 0.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — best among ACC defenses.
Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends
Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 162 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1
Stanford WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 18 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 300 attempts this season — T-6th-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.3% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford Skill Players have just one touchdown on 45 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California RBs averaged 11.3 Yards per Carry (158 yards/14 carries) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
California RBs averaged 17.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (89 yards / 5 touches) on 2nd down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
California’s offense has thrown for 2,738 passing yards in 10 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s QBs has thrown for 2,738 passing yards in 10 games (273.8 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.3 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
California RBs averaged 12.6 Yards per Carry (88 yards/7 carries) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9
Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends
Stanford has allowed 32 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Stanford has allowed 56 TD passes since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Stanford has allowed 56 TD passes since the 2023 season– most in FBS
Stanford has allowed 3.5 touchdowns per interception (56 TDs allowed, and 16 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
Stanford has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 105 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 105 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
California has not recorded a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
California has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 140 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
California allowed 20 first down receptions last week– most among Power Conference Teams
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