Syracuse vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

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California head coach Justin Wilcox stands on the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Stanford in Stanford, Calif., Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:17 PM
  • California is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Syracuse
  • Syracuse vs. California Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The Syracuse Orange (6-3) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (5-4) on Nov. 16 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

California is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Syracuse vs. California Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on California vs Syracuse & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Syracuse vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Syracuse+8.5 -11555.5 -110+260
California -8.5 -10555.5 -110-350

Syracuse vs California Prediction:

The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Syracuse and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on California vs Syracuse and all games with BetMGM


  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Syracuse players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Syracuse Player Prop Bets Today

  • Trebor Pena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LeQuint Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle McCord has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Oronde Gadsden II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • LeQuint Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Nyziah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Fernando Mendoza has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.51% ROI
  • Syracuse is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Syracuse is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).

  • California is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 3.17% ROI
  • California is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
  • California is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. California

Syracuse is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

Syracuse is winless (0-2) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .522

Syracuse is 9-4 (.692) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .606

Syracuse is 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510

California: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

California is 3-6 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

California is 6-11 (.353) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

California is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

California is 6-11 (.353) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. California

California’s offense has thrown for 2,513 passing yards in 9 games (279.2 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 198.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

California’s QBs has thrown for 2,513 passing yards in 9 games (279.2 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 198.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

California have 277.2 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 198.9 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s RBs has rushed for 848 yards on 196 carries (just 4.3 YPC) this season — 26th-worst among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 3.1 YPC this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s RBs have 47.8 receiving yards per game this season — 9th-best among FBS RBs. California’s defense has allowed 30.9 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s RBs has rushed for 848 yards on 196 carries (just 4.3 YPC) this season — 26th-worst among FBS RBs. California’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse Skill Players have been targeted 46.6 times per game (419/9) this season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.2

Syracuse TEs were targeted 8 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse TEs had 6 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse TEs were targeted 7 times on 1st down last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 30.8 receptions per game (277/9) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California WRs had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

California’s offense has thrown for 2,513 passing yards in 9 games (279.2 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 198.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

California Skill Players had 7 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

California WRs had 6 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams

California’s QBs has thrown for 2,513 passing yards in 9 games (279.2 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 198.9 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (4 completions/17 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse allowed 331.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 139.7

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 88 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 9%

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 111 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 88 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 96 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 96 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8

California has averaged 1.89 interceptions per game (17/9) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.90

California has averaged 1.89 interceptions per game (17/9) this season– best in FBS; Average: 0.85

California had no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.