- The Texas A&M is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
- The Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Texas A&M Aggies (5-1) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-5) on Oct. 19 in Starkville, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas A&M | -15.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -700 |
| Mississippi State | +15.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +500 |
Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 85.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Mississippi St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Mississippi St vs Texas A&M and all games with BetMGM
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Bets Today
- Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mississippi State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kevin Coleman Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Johnnie Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -36.43% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 10.96% ROI
- Texas A&M is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas A&M is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -100% ROI
- Mississippi State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Mississippi State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
Texas A&M is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Texas A&M is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .623
Texas A&M is 12-4 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Texas A&M is 11-2 (.846) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .679
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Mississippi State is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444
Mississippi State is 2-11 (.154) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499
Mississippi State is 4-10 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Mississippi State is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State
Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 1,086 passing yards in 6 games (just 181.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 263.8 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 1,086 passing yards in 6 games (just 181.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed 263.8 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Texas A&M Skill Players have averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (91 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.8
Texas A&M Skill Players have averaged just 4.2 receptions per game (25/6) in the 2nd half this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.9
Texas A&M Skill Players have averaged just 13.2 receptions per game (79/6) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State TEs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.4
Mississippi State TEs have no touchdowns on 23 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Mississippi State TEs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.3
Mississippi State TEs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.1
Mississippi State WRs have averaged 31.7 yards per reception (190 yards/6 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.3
Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 27 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 46 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 14.1
Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 27 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 27 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (143 completions/193 attempts) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 61%
Mississippi State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (5/193) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Mississippi State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 42 of 236 carries (18%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%
Mississippi State has allowed 4.0 touchdowns per interception (12 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.2
Mississippi State has allowed 6 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC
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