Texas Tech vs Oklahoma St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

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Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy talks to his players during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Kansas State Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2024, 1:15 PM
  • Texas Tech is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
  • Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-4) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-7) on Nov. 23 in Stillwater, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 67.5 total points.

Bet now on Oklahoma St vs Texas Tech & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech-3.5 -11067.5 -110-175
Oklahoma State +3.5 -11067.5 -110+145

Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Oklahoma St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Caleb Douglas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Alan Bowman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Rashod Owens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Alan Bowman has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • De’Zhaun Stribling has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 5.43% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 23.43% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -42.2% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -18.15% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Texas Tech is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Texas Tech is 9-4 (.692) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .598

Texas Tech is 12-8 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .445

Texas Tech is 9-2 (.818) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Oklahoma State is 5-3 (.625) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .505

Oklahoma State is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .537

Oklahoma State is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .601

Oklahoma State is 11-5 (.688) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .598

Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State’s offense has thrown for 2,724 passing yards in 10 games (272.4 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 305.6 passing yards per game this season — worst among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has gained 111 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s QBs has thrown for 2,708 passing yards in 10 games (270.8 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 305.6 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has gained 374 yards on 33 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has gained 374 yards on 33 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has gained 374 yards on 33 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech’s TEs has gained 374 yards on 33 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has gained 374 yards on 33 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s TEs has gained 374 yards on 33 receptions (11.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,777 passing yards in 10 games (277.7 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 258.8 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech’s RBs has averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 3.9 yards per reception (31 yards/8 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.8

Oklahoma State’s offense has thrown for 2,724 passing yards in 10 games (272.4 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 305.6 passing yards per game this season — worst among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 3.9 yards per reception (31 yards/8 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Oklahoma State’s TEs has gained 111 yards on 13 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s QBs has thrown for 2,708 passing yards in 10 games (270.8 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 305.6 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech’s opponents has attempted 37.8 passes per game this season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 31.0

Texas Tech has allowed 305.6 Passing Yards per game (3,056/10) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 217.6

Texas Tech has allowed 451.0 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 352.3

Texas Tech has allowed 3,056 Passing Yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS

Texas Tech has allowed 305.6 Passing Yards per game (3,056/10) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 222.0

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State has allowed 108 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has allowed 2,408 rushing yards this season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has allowed 499.6 yards from scrimmage per game this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 352.3

Oklahoma State has allowed 4,741 rushing yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has allowed 14.2 yards per completion (6,438 yards/452 completions) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.