- Toledo is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Akron
- Toledo vs. Akron Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Toledo Rockets (7-4) visit InfoCision Stadium-Summa Field to take on the Akron Zips (3-8) on Nov. 26 in Akron, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Toledo vs. Akron Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Akron Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | -8.5 -110 | 48.5 -105 | -350 |
| Akron | +8.5 -110 | 48.5 -115 | +260 |
Toledo vs Akron Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 71.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and Akron, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Toledo vs Akron Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 80.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Toledo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Akron Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 32% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Toledo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Toledo Player Prop Bets Today
- Junior Vandeross III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jerjuan Newton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Akron players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Akron Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jake Newell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bobby Golden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Toledo is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 1.67% ROI
- Toledo is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Toledo is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Akron is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Akron is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -25.93% ROI
- Akron is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Akron is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Akron
Toledo is 16-6 (.727) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
Toledo is 15-3 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622
Toledo is 10-4 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .526
Toledo is 13-7 (.650) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .442
Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo
Akron is winless (0-8) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Akron is 1-14 (.062) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .534
Akron is 2-12 (.143) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .420
Akron is 1-17 (.053) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .482
Matchup Notes for Toledo vs. Akron
Akron’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 817 attempts since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s offense has averaged just 1.0 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron’s RBs has 0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 1.2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo has 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s RBs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends
Toledo RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (984 yards/266 carries) this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game this season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense has allowed 2.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (245 yards/70 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Toledo TEs have averaged 17.5 yards per reception (541 yards/31 catches) with 7-10 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
Toledo Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Akron Offensive Stats & Trends
Akron’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 817 attempts since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Toledo’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Akron WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.8 receptions (169 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
Akron WRs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Akron RBs have averaged 7.3 carries per game (167 carries / 23 games) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– 2nd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Akron Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 19.5 receptions (468 Rec/24 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Toledo Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
Toledo did not record a sack (19 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Toledo opponents averaged 34.2 Passing Attempts per TD (411 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (435 completions/780 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (35 completions/79 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Toledo allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (219 completions/411 attempts) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends
Akron has allowed 4.6 touchdowns per interception (41 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Akron has allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Akron has allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Akron has intercepted 9 of 633 attempts (70.3 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
Akron has intercepted 3 of 299 attempts (99.7 pass attempts per int.) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2
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