- Toledo is a -8.5 point favorite vs. E Michigan
- Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The Toledo Rockets (5-3) visit Rynearson Stadium to take on the Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-3) on Nov. 2 in Ypsilanti, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Toledo | -8.5 -110 | 53.5 -105 | -350 |
| Eastern Michigan | +8.5 -110 | 53.5 -115 | +260 |
Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Toledo and E Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Toledo vs Eastern Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Eastern Michigan will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Toledo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+2.35 Units / 2% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
Eastern Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Toledo is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Toledo is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Toledo is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
E Michigan is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.43% ROI).
- Eastern Michigan is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.8% ROI
- Eastern Michigan is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Eastern Michigan is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan
Toledo is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .541
Toledo is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .619
Toledo is 14-2 (.875) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564
Toledo is 15-5 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .571
Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo
Eastern Michigan is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .571
Eastern Michigan is 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .608
Eastern Michigan is 6-4 (.600) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .505
Eastern Michigan is 10-8 (.556) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Matchup Notes for Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan
Oran Singleton (EMC) has gained 459 yards on 49 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) this season — 7th-worst of Qualified Skill Players. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Oran Singleton (EMC) has gained 459 yards on 49 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst of Qualified Wide Receiver. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s RBs have 33.0 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.4 passing TDs per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo has 2.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends
Toledo RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (700 yards/200 carries) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (491 yards / 128 touches) on 1st down this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Toledo’s RBs have 33.0 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo Skill Players have averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (370 yards/38 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-15th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan Skill Players had 167 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– most among FBS Teams
Eastern Michigan Skill Players were targeted 17 times in close and late situations last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Eastern Michigan have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 41 of their 637 total passing attempts (6%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Eastern Michigan WRs had no touchdowns on 17 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Eastern Michigan RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Toledo Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (384 completions/689 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Toledo opponents has averaged 31.3 Passing Attempts per TD (689 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.1
Toledo opponents averaged 34.2 Passing Attempts per TD (411 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Toledo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 19 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Toledo has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 292 carries (36.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.6
Eastern Michigan Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 28 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Eastern Michigan did not sack opposing QBs on any of 26 pass attempts last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 6%
Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 28 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Eastern Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (20/199) this season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Eastern Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 12 of 130 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
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