Tulane vs Navy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

min read
Navy fullback Daba Fofana runs with the ball during the first half of an NCAA college football game between Navy and Tulsa, Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Annapolis, Md. Navy won 53-21.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:15 PM
  • Tulane is a -7 point favorite vs. Navy
  • Tulane vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Tulane Green Wave (8-2) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the Navy Midshipmen (7-2) on Nov. 16 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Tulane vs. Navy Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

Bet now on Navy vs Tulane & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulane vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulane-7 -11053.5 -110-275
Navy +7 -11053.5 -110+220

Tulane vs Navy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Navy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Navy vs Tulane and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulane Player Prop Bets Today

  • Darian Mensah has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Yulkeith Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Alex Bauman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Makhi Hughes has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Darian Mensah has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Navy Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Blake Horvath has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Alex Tecza has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Tulane is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 3.22% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Tulane is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 28.57% ROI).

  • Navy is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 7.01% ROI
  • Navy is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
  • Navy is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Tulane is 9-3 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .379

Tulane is 18-1 (.947) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .580

Tulane is 9-3 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Tulane is 12-3 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .623

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Navy is 10-5 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Navy is 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .521

Navy is 4-5 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .537

Navy is 9-4 (.692) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .599

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Navy

Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 20.5% of 127 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Navy has gained 1,053 yards on 62 receptions (17.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Navy’s offense has thrown for 1,232 passing yards in 9 games (just 136.9 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 193.5 passing yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Darian Mensah (TUL) has completed 66.7% of passes (20/30) in the red zone this season — T-10th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Navy’s defense has allowed a completion rate of just 31.2% when defending in the red zone this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Mario Williams (TUL) has gained 20 or more yards on 34.2% of 38 receptions this season — T-6th-best of Qualified Skill Players. Navy’s defense has allowed 20+ yards on 19.0% of receptions this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane RBs rushed for 4 TDs last week– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Tulane RBs have averaged 197.7 rushing yards per game (1,977/10) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.3

Tulane RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulane Skill Players have averaged 14.5 yards per reception (2,137 yards/147 catches) this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Tulane WRs have averaged 16.5 yards per reception (1,735 yards/105 catches) this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Navy Offensive Stats & Trends

Navy WRs have averaged just 1.9 receptions per game (40/21) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Navy WRs have averaged just 0.9 receptions per game (8/9) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Navy have completed passes for 20+ yards on 26 of their 127 total passing attempts (20%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Navy Skill Players have averaged just 6.9 receptions per game (62/9) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Navy RBs have been targeted 9.7 times per game (204/21) since the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 11 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 11 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Tulane has allowed 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (92 yards / 45 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 4 of 118 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Tulane allowed 158.0 yards from scrimmage per game last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 379.4

Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends

Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (10 completions/32 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Navy has allowed opponents to catch just 10 of 30 passes (33% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Navy has allowed 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (243 yards / 27 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

Navy opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (32 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (10 completions/32 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%


Bet now on Navy vs Tulane and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.