Tulsa vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

UAB quarterback Jacob Zeno (4) throws a pass against Alabama A&M during an NCAA football game Thursday, Sept. 1, 2022, in Birmingham, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • UAB is a -3 point favorite vs. Tulsa
  • Tulsa vs. UAB Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-5) visit Protective Stadium to take on the UAB Blazers (1-6) on Nov. 2 in Birmingham, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT.

UAB is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Tulsa vs. UAB Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Tulsa vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulsa+3 -11058.5 -110+130
UAB -3 -11058.5 -110-160

Tulsa vs UAB Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UAB will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and UAB, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulsa vs UAB Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tulsa have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4.02% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -13.57% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • UAB is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -7.55% ROI
  • UAB is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • UAB is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Tulsa is winless (0-6) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Tulsa is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .445

Tulsa is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .329

Tulsa is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

UAB is 2-12 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

UAB is 5-10 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .624

UAB is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .476

UAB is 3-12 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Matchup Notes for Tulsa vs. UAB

UAB’s RBs has averaged 5.1 targets per game this season — T-32nd-highest among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB has 160 receptions in 7 games (22.9 per game) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB’s RBs has 27 receptions in 7 games (3.9 per game) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 40 receptions in 8 games (5.0 per game) this season — 11th-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 10.3 receptions per game this season — best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs have 37.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 145.1 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs have 37.0 receiving yards per game this season — 21st-best among FBS RBs. UAB’s defense has allowed 33.6 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa Skill Players had 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Tulsa RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa Skill Players caught 5 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa Skill Players had 9 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams

Tulsa QBs had 9 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most among FBS Teams

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB’s RBs has averaged 5.1 targets per game this season — T-32nd-highest among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB has 160 receptions in 7 games (22.9 per game) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB Kickers have averaged 55.2 yards per kickoff (3,807 yards/69 kickoffs) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.9

UAB RBs have been targeted 3.6 times per game (68/19) in the 2nd half since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

UAB’s RBs has 27 receptions in 7 games (3.9 per game) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3

Tulsa has no interceptions (77 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.7

Tulsa has no interceptions (77 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.3

Tulsa has allowed 21 TD passes this season– 2nd-most in FBS

Tulsa has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.9

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 22 of 316 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

UAB’s opponents has attempted just 18.7 passes per game this season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

UAB’s opponents has attempted just 18.7 passes per game this season– lowest in FBS; Average: 30.7

Opponents have averaged just 10.3 completions per game (72 / 7) against UAB this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.6

Opponents have averaged just 10.3 completions per game (72 / 7) against UAB this season– best in FBS; Average: 18.6


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.