UCLA vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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Washington linebacker Alphonzo Tuputala is pictured during an NCAA football game against Boise State on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, in Seattle. Washington won 56-19. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)

(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:11 PM

Washington is a -4 point favorite vs. UCLA
UCLA vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

The UCLA Bruins (4-5) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies (5-5) on Nov. 15 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The UCLA vs. Washington Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UCLA	+4 -110	46.5 -105	+150
Washington	-4 -110	46.5 -115	-185

UCLA vs Washington Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UCLA vs Washington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.85 Units / 44% ROI)
UCLA have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
UCLA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)

Washington Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Washington has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Washington have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today

Moliki Matavao has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kwazi Gilmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Logan Loya has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington Player Prop Best Bets Today

Giles Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jonah Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Denzel Boston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Will Rogers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI).

UCLA is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 16% ROI
UCLA is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.18% ROI
UCLA is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 27.92% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -14.03% ROI).

Washington is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -5.87% ROI
Washington is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
Washington is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

UCLA is 1-6 (.143) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .353

UCLA is 7-2 (.778) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .625

UCLA is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .424

UCLA is 11-4 (.733) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .621

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

Washington is 11-2 (.846) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .528

Washington is 14-2 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .654

Washington is 18-2 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .676

Washington is 10-4 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .580

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. Washington

Washington’s QBs has thrown for 2,645 passing yards in 10 games (264.5 YPG) this season — 33rd-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 252.8 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington’s TEs has gained 511 yards on 44 receptions (11.6 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 11.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has 43 receptions in 9 games (4.8 per game) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s TEs has 43 receptions in 9 games (4.8 per game) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA’s WRs have just 123.4 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 149.8 receiving yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 30 carries (15 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

UCLA Skill Players have caught just 10 of 30 passes (33% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs has averaged 22.9 targets per game this season — 3rd-highest among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 4.1 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington Skill Players have 995 receiving yards in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Big Ten Teams

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 15 attempts (7%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1%

UCLA allowed 20.6 yards per completion (185 yards/9 completions) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.7

UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 31 of 122 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UCLA allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 15 attempts (20%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

UCLA has allowed 9.5 Yards per Attempt (927 yards/98 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.2

Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (36/861) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 7%

Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (148 completions/282 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Washington has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 129 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Washington allowed 4 rushing TDs last week– most in the Big Ten

Washington opponents has averaged 5.8 Passing Attempts per TD (99 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

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