- New Mexico State is a -2.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
- UTEP vs. New Mexico State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The UTEP Miners (2-9) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Las Cruces, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.
New Mexico State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The UTEP vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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UTEP vs. New Mexico State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTEP | +2.5 -105 | 51.5 -110 | +120 |
| New Mexico State | -2.5 -115 | 51.5 -110 | -145 |
UTEP vs New Mexico State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico State will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and New Mexico State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today
- Ezell Jolly has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kam Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trey Goodman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Skyler Locklear has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- PJ Johnson III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Washington has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TJ Pride has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI).
- UTEP is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -51% ROI
- UTEP is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- UTEP is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -7.45% ROI
- New Mexico State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 30.08% ROI
- New Mexico State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -38.08% ROI
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
UTEP is winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .312
UTEP is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
UTEP is 2-17 (.105) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .361
UTEP is 2-14 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
New Mexico State is winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .458
New Mexico State is winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .402
New Mexico State is 2-7 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
New Mexico State is 2-6 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. New Mexico State
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 4,584 passing yards in 26 games (just 176.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 198.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS skill players. UTEP’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs has 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.5% of 669 attempts since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.9% of attempts since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs has rushed for 1,013 yards on 271 carries (just 3.7 YPC) this season — T-2nd-worst among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 271 carries (90.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 6th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1
UTEP WRs had no touchdowns on 17 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2
UTEP Skill Players have no touchdowns on 35 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
UTEP’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.5% of 669 attempts since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.9% of attempts since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP Skill Players have averaged 20.2 yards per reception (81 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State WRs have caught just 74 of 180 passes (41% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
New Mexico State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.7 receptions (74 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
New Mexico State Skill Players have caught just 118 of 254 passes (47% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 4,584 passing yards in 26 games (just 176.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 198.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State RBs have averaged 13.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (247 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0
UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS
UTEP allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UTEP allowed 4 first down receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most in FBS
UTEP allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-most in FBS
UTEP allowed 8 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 18 of 353 attempts (5%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico State did not record a sack (45 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
New Mexico State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 18 of 353 attempts (5%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State did not record a sack (45 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
New Mexico State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 46 of 429 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
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