UTSA vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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Rice wide receiver Rawson MacNeill during an NCAA football game against Connecticut on Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 2:25 PM
  • The UTSA is a -6 point favorite vs. Rice
  • The UTSA vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners (2-3) visit Rice Stadium to take on the Rice Owls (1-4) on Oct. 12 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

UTSA is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The UTSA vs. Rice Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTSA-6 -11050.5 -110-250
Rice +6 -11050.5 -110+200

UTSA vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 61.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Rice, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTSA vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTSA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UTSA Player Prop Bets Today

  • Devin McCuin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kevorian Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Rice players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rice Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Dean Connors has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • AJ Padgett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Boden Groen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • AJ Padgett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Connors has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).

  • UTSA is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • UTSA is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI
  • UTSA is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

  • Rice is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -68.94% ROI
  • Rice is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • Rice is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

UTSA is 10-1 (.909) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .716

UTSA is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512

UTSA is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .655

UTSA is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .599

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Rice is 3-11 (.214) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

Rice is 6-2 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564

Rice is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Rice is 3-11 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .387

Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Rice

Rice has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 186 attempts this season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s WRs have just 114.2 receiving yards per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 271.8 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA has 411 receptions in 18 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 280 receptions in 18 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 280 receptions in 18 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has 411 receptions in 18 games (22.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 280 receptions in 18 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 280 receptions in 18 games (15.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 76 receptions in 5 games (15.2 per game) this season — 31st-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 13.0 receptions per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice RBs have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Rice RBs have been targeted 9.6 times per game (48/5) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Rice’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.5% of 186 attempts this season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. UTSA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.3% of attempts this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice RBs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 147 attempts (6%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 29 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

UTSA has allowed 15.6 yards per completion (1,359 yards/87 completions) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (20 completions/53 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 29 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (17/116) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (17/116) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

Rice has averaged 3.4 sacks per game this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Rice intercepted 5 of 376 attempts (75.2 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Rice has allowed 155.4 Passing Yards per game (777/5) this season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 213.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.