Western Michigan vs Central Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

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Central Michigan's Donte Kent plays during an NCAA Football game on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Mount Pleasant, Mich. (AP Photo/Al Goldis)
(AP Photo/Al Goldis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 19, 2024, 1:16 PM
  • Western Michigan is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Central Michigan
  • Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Western Michigan Broncos (5-5) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (3-7) on Nov. 19 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Western Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan-6.5 -10556.5 -110-225
Central Michigan +6.5 -11556.5 -110+185

Western Michigan vs Central Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Michigan vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 68.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.74% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -4.29% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -49.78% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Western Michigan is 5-13 (.278) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Western Michigan is 5-11 (.312) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Western Michigan is 6-13 (.316) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .483

Western Michigan is 5-9 (.357) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Central Michigan is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Central Michigan is 6-14 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .483

Central Michigan is 6-13 (.316) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566

Central Michigan is 6-13 (.316) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .619

Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan’s WRs has 96 receptions in 10 games (just 9.6 per game) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s WRs has 89 receptions in 10 games (just 8.9 per game) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s RBs has 38 receptions in 10 games (3.8 per game) this season — T-35th-best among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 1,896 yards on 313 carries (6.1 YPC) this season — T-12th-best among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan RBs had 4 receptions on 3rd down last week– most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (949 yards / 119 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Western Michigan RBs were targeted 7 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Western Michigan Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (21 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Western Michigan’s WRs has 89 receptions in 10 games (just 8.9 per game) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan Skill Players have no touchdowns on 18 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Central Michigan WRs have averaged just 9.6 receptions per game (96/10) this season– T-26th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Central Michigan TEs have caught just 18 of 42 passes (43% Reception Pct) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 66%

Central Michigan Skill Players have averaged just 14.6 receptions per game (146/10) this season– 19th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Central Michigan RBs have averaged just 4.0 Yards per Carry (463 yards/116 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has no interceptions (85 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.8

Western Michigan has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 54 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Western Michigan has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 48 carries (6%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%

Western Michigan has allowed 19 rushing TDs on just 54 carries (2.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 4.5

Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan has allowed 5.3 touchdowns per interception (37 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Central Michigan has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Central Michigan has intercepted 7 of 628 attempts (89.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Central Michigan has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Central Michigan has intercepted 7 of 628 attempts (89.7 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.7


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