- North Carolina is a -11 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
- Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-5) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (5-4) on Nov. 16 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -11 (-110).
The Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Wake Forest | +11 -110 | 63.5 -105 | +340 |
| North Carolina | -11 -110 | 63.5 -115 | -450 |
Wake Forest vs North Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wake Forest and North Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Wake Forest vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 80.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on North Carolina vs Wake Forest and all games with BetMGM
Wake Forest Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+1.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.10 Units / 33% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wake Forest Player Prop Bets Today
- Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Horatio Fields has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacolby Criswell has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jacolby Criswell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Paysour has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -35.35% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -21.81% ROI
- Wake Forest is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
- Wake Forest is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -45.96% ROI).
- North Carolina is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -11.44% ROI
- North Carolina is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- North Carolina is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
Wake Forest is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Wake Forest is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510
Wake Forest is 4-9 (.308) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .440
Wake Forest is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .433
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest
North Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
North Carolina is 2-4 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .540
North Carolina is 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510
North Carolina is 3-7 (.300) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Matchup Notes for Wake Forest vs. North Carolina
North Carolina has gained 2,224 yards on 170 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina has gained 2,224 yards on 170 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has averaged 10.0 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among FBS TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s RBs has gained 305 yards on 26 receptions (11.7 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s RBs has gained 305 yards on 26 receptions (11.7 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s RBs has gained 305 yards on 26 receptions (11.7 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest Skill Players have no touchdowns on 21 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Wake Forest Skill Players have no touchdowns on 21 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Wake Forest TEs have averaged just 1.3 receptions per game (28/21) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.5
Wake Forest’s RBs has gained 305 yards on 26 receptions (11.7 YPR) this season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest WRs have averaged 16.6 receptions per game (149/9) this season– 14th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has gained 2,224 yards on 170 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina has gained 2,224 yards on 170 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has averaged 10.0 targets per game this season — 5th-highest among FBS TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina TEs have been targeted 58 times on 3rd down since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
North Carolina TEs have been targeted 58 times on 3rd down since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends
Opponents have averaged 28.1 completions per game (253 / 9) against Wake Forest this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.7
Wake Forest has allowed 142 first down receptions this season– most in FBS
Wake Forest allowed 22 first down receptions last week– most in FBS
Wake Forest allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Wake Forest allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most in FBS
North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has allowed 14.6 yards per completion (2,117 yards/145 completions) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
North Carolina has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 265 attempts (4%) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
North Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (32/265) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
North Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (32/265) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
North Carolina has allowed 47.6 receiving yards per game (428/9) to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.3
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