- The Washington St is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Fresno St
- The Washington State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Washington State Cougars (4-1) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Washington State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Washington State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Washington State | -3.5 -105 | 61.5 -110 | -165 |
Fresno State | +3.5 -115 | 61.5 -110 | +140 |
Washington State vs Fresno State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Washington State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Washington State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Washington State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Washington State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Washington State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Malik Sherrod has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Malik Sherrod has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Mikey Keene has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Mikey Keene has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Washington St is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).
- Washington State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 46.34% ROI
- Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .698
Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .648
Washington State is 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .651
Washington State is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .646
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State
Fresno State is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .760
Fresno State is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596
Fresno State is 11-4 (.733) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586
Fresno State is 8-1 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .656
Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. Fresno State
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,405 passing yards in 5 games (281.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 292.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 5 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends
Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington State Punters have punted 0.0 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0
Washington State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 5 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington State QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,405 passing yards in 5 games (281.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 292.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,405 passing yards in 5 games (281.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 292.4 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 5,039 passing yards in 18 games (279.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 254.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Washington State has averaged a sack every 41.0 pass attempts (205 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (5/205) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Opponents have averaged 25.6 completions per game (128 / 5) against Washington State this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.1
Washington State has averaged a sack every 41.0 pass attempts (205 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9
Washington State has allowed 292.4 Passing Yards per game (1,462/5) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 206.1
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS
Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 48 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.6
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (36 completions/79 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
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