Washington St vs Fresno St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Fresno State helmet in the first half of an NCAA college football game for the Mountain West championship against Boise State, Saturday, Dec. 1, 2018, in Boise, Idaho. Fresno State won 19-16. (AP Photo/Steve Conner)
(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:11 PM
  • The Washington St is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Fresno St
  • The Washington State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Washington State Cougars (4-1) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Washington State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Washington State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington State-3.5 -10561.5 -110-165
Fresno State +3.5 -11561.5 -110+140

Washington State vs Fresno State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Malik Sherrod has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Malik Sherrod has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Mikey Keene has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Mikey Keene has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).

  • Washington State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 46.34% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI

Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Fresno St is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • Fresno State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
  • Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .698

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .648

Washington State is 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .651

Washington State is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .646

Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

Fresno State is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .760

Fresno State is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

Fresno State is 11-4 (.733) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Fresno State is 8-1 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .656

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. Fresno State

Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,405 passing yards in 5 games (281.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 292.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 5 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.0% of 160 attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Punters have punted 0.0 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

Washington State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 5 games (just 1.4 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,405 passing yards in 5 games (281.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 292.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has 321 receptions in 18 games (17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 1,405 passing yards in 5 games (281.0 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 292.4 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 5,039 passing yards in 18 games (279.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 254.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has averaged a sack every 41.0 pass attempts (205 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0

Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (5/205) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Opponents have averaged 25.6 completions per game (128 / 5) against Washington State this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.1

Washington State has averaged a sack every 41.0 pass attempts (205 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9

Washington State has allowed 292.4 Passing Yards per game (1,462/5) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 206.1

Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS

Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 48 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Fresno State has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.6

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (36 completions/79 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.