Washington St vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

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New Mexico wide receiver Caleb Medford (4) signals during the first half of an NCAA football game against UMass on Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Amherst, Mass. (AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
(AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 4:47 PM
  • Washington St is a -12.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
  • Washington State vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 72.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Washington State Cougars (8-1) visit University Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos (4-6) on Nov. 16 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Washington State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 72.5 total points.

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Washington State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington State-12.5 -11572.5 -110-550
New Mexico +12.5 -10572.5 -110+400

Washington State vs New Mexico Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Wayshawn Parker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • John Mateer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Josh Meredith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • John Mateer has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best New Mexico Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devon Dampier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eli Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ryan Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Washington State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 17.78% ROI
  • Washington State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Washington State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.61% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -24.22% ROI
  • New Mexico is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • New Mexico is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .670

Washington State is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681

Washington State is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .699

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

New Mexico is 3-14 (.176) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

New Mexico is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .440

New Mexico is 3-13 (.188) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .413

New Mexico is 3-14 (.176) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. New Mexico

New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 1,478 yards on 231 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Washington State’s defense have allowed 6.5 YPC to RBs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 1,478 yards on 231 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Washington State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s QBs has rushed for 859 yards on 112 carries (7.7 YPC) this season — best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 2,419 yards on 174 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 275 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 2,419 passing yards in 9 games (268.8 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 249.1 passing yards per game this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has gained 2,419 yards on 174 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (533 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 275 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State Punters have punted 0.5 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico RBs averaged 10.2 Yards per Carry (174 yards/17 carries) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico RBs averaged 16.7 Yards per Carry (150 yards/9 carries) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

New Mexico QBs have rushed for 13 TDs this season– 5th-most among FBS Teams

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Opponents have averaged 25.3 completions per game (228 / 9) against Washington State this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5

Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/357) this season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/357) this season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Washington State’s opponents has attempted 39.7 passes per game this season– 3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 30.5

Washington State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 5 of 14 carries (36%) on 3rd and long this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

New Mexico has intercepted 7 of 613 attempts (87.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4

New Mexico has allowed 6.4 touchdowns per interception (45 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

New Mexico has intercepted 7 of 613 attempts (87.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

New Mexico allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.