Washington St vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

New Mexico wide receiver Caleb Medford (4) signals during the first half of an NCAA football game against UMass on Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Amherst, Mass. (AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
(AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
  • Washington St is a -12.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
  • Washington State vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 72.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Washington State Cougars (8-1) visit University Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos (4-6) on Nov. 16 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Washington State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 72.5 total points.

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Washington State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Washington State-12.5 -11572.5 -110-550
New Mexico +12.5 -10572.5 -110+400

Washington State vs New Mexico Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Washington St and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Washington State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Washington State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Wayshawn Parker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • John Mateer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Josh Meredith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • John Mateer has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best New Mexico Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devon Dampier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eli Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ryan Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Washington State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 17.78% ROI
  • Washington State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Washington State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.61% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -24.22% ROI
  • New Mexico is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • New Mexico is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713

Washington State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .670

Washington State is undefeated (12-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681

Washington State is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .699

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

New Mexico is 3-14 (.176) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

New Mexico is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .440

New Mexico is 3-13 (.188) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .413

New Mexico is 3-14 (.176) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

Matchup Notes for Washington State vs. New Mexico

New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 1,478 yards on 231 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Washington State’s defense have allowed 6.5 YPC to RBs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 1,478 yards on 231 carries (6.4 YPC) this season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Washington State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s QBs has rushed for 859 yards on 112 carries (7.7 YPC) this season — best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 2,419 yards on 174 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 275 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 2,419 passing yards in 9 games (268.8 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 249.1 passing yards per game this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State has gained 2,419 yards on 174 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (533 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.7% of 275 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.7% of attempts this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington State Skill Players caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Washington State Punters have punted 0.5 times per game this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico RBs averaged 10.2 Yards per Carry (174 yards/17 carries) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico RBs averaged 16.7 Yards per Carry (150 yards/9 carries) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

New Mexico QBs have rushed for 13 TDs this season– 5th-most among FBS Teams

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Opponents have averaged 25.3 completions per game (228 / 9) against Washington State this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5

Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/357) this season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Washington State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/357) this season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Washington State’s opponents has attempted 39.7 passes per game this season– 3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 30.5

Washington State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 5 of 14 carries (36%) on 3rd and long this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

New Mexico has intercepted 7 of 613 attempts (87.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4

New Mexico has allowed 6.4 touchdowns per interception (45 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

New Mexico has intercepted 7 of 613 attempts (87.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

New Mexico allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.