- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cubs starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Watch the game on MASN
The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 16-12 ATS.
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 +100 | -145 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +120 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+19.55 Units / 107% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 43% ROI)
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wesneski | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Trevor Williams | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 17-11 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 19.53% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 10.06% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -8.1% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -1.3% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 9.35% ROI).
- 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -1.25% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.48% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Wesneski has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 23 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (4/30) against Hayden Wesneski on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 27% — ninth Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has not struck out any hitters in 15 PA’s in PAs ending on fastballs away this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has struck out just 13% (6/46) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft had an ERA of 8.37 (47.1 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (98/159) against Graham Ashcraft in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 60% (76/126) against Graham Ashcraft in two-strike counts in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft threw fastballs 77% of the time (989/1,286) in non-two strike counts in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are just 1-82 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Cubs are 9-2 (.818) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Cubs are just 80-5 (.941) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Cubs are just 34-32 (.515) when favorites since last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .605.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are just 29-67 (.302) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 115-13 (.898) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Nationals are just 20-109 (.155) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .299 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs hitters are slugging .359 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .326 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .657 (603 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 194 strikeouts in 1,065 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have put 44% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 287 total hits (just 24%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won 56% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Ildemaro Vargas (Nationals): Shoulder, D10
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jameson Taillon (Cubs): Groin, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Head, Day-to-Day
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