Dayton vs Saint Louis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

Saint Louis head coach Travis Ford watches play in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Maryland, Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Uncasville, Conn.
(AP Photo/Jessica Hill)
  • Dayton (14-13) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Saint Louis (11-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Dayton / Saint Louis TV channel: CBSSN

The Dayton Flyers (14-13) visit Chaifetz Arena to take on the Saint Louis Billikens (11-17) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in St. Louis, MO.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Dayton vs. Saint Louis Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. Saint Louis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-8.5 -110O 151.5 -110-500
Saint Louis +8.5 -110U 151.5 -110+375

Dayton vs Saint Louis Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 80.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs Saint Louis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Louis will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Saint Louis has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+2.10 Units / 5% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 11.14% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.95 Units / 12.87% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.65 Units / -21.52% ROI

Saint Louis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Louis has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -7.7% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.95 Units / 16.07% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.65 Units / -24.84% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (851 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (333 assists/ 216 TOs) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Saint Louis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (814 assists/ 685 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (814 assists/ 685 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (271 assists/ 285 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Louis has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (271 assists/ 285 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,480 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (282 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Saint Louis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Louis has forced 10.0 turnovers per game (230 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Saint Louis has allowed 77.3 points per game (1,779 points/23 games) this season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 70.2

Saint Louis has allowed 77.3 points per game (1,779 points/23 games) this season — 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Saint Louis has forced 10.4 turnovers per game (581 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.