Dayton vs VCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 9

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VCU Rams Basketball Predictions
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2024, 10:52 AM
  • Dayton (12-9) is a -1.5 point favorite vs VCU (13-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Dayton / VCU TV channel: ESPN2

The Dayton Flyers (12-9) visit Stuart Siegel Center to take on the VCU Rams (13-8) on Feb. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Richmond, VA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Dayton vs. VCU Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. VCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-1.5 -110O 135.5 -115-115
VCU +1.5 -110U 135.5 -105-105

Dayton vs VCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs VCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts VCU will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • VCU have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI).

  • 18-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 15.05% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1.05 Units / 4.36% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -13.37% ROI

VCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

VCU has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.25% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -13.78% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.35 Units / -17.19% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 7.71% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton is shooting 41% from three (200/492) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (842 assists/ 619 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 41% from three (200/492) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (324 assists/ 208 TOs) this season — tied for best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

VCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has a 40% free throw rate (1,211 free throw attempts/3,062 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

VCU is shooting 78% from the free throw line (341/435) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

VCU has 21.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

VCU has averaged 1.34 points per shot (1,603 points/1,195 shots) this season — tied for best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (277 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,435 points/3,211 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,450 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,435 points/3,211 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

VCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has averaged 7.7 steals per game (439 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

VCU has averaged 7.7 steals per game (439 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

VCU has 439 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

VCU has averaged 5.8 steals per game (128 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.