Denver vs Kansas City Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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A coach in a huddle with the Kansas City Roos
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:42 AM
  • Kansas City (16-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Denver (11-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Denver / Kansas City TV channel: ESPN+

The Denver Pioneers (11-14) visit Denny Sanford PREMIER Center to take on the Kansas City Roos (16-12) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Sioux Falls, SD.

Kansas City is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Denver vs. Kansas City Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Denver vs. Kansas City Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver+4.5 -110O 150.5 -115+165
Kansas City -4.5 -110U 150.5 -105-200

Denver vs Kansas City Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kansas City will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Denver vs Kansas City Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Denver will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kansas City has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kansas City have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kansas City has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Kansas City have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kansas City has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.35 Units / -14.7% ROI).

  • 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -14.66% ROI
  • 19-7 when betting the Over for +11.3 Units / 38.05% ROI
  • 7-19 when betting the Under for -13.9 Units / -46.8% ROI

Kansas City Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas City has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 9.27% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 13.44% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -7.78% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.81% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 85.1 points per game (2,042 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Denver has 23.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 18.2

Denver has 25.4 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.1

Denver has a 41% free throw rate (1,322 free throw attempts/3,224 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kansas City Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas City has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (646 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 8.4

Kansas City is shooting 31% from three (403/1,297) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kansas City is shooting 41% (1,366/3,346) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kansas City has averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,787 points/1,501 shots) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,369 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Denver has averaged 6.0 steals per game (145 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Denver has 145 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams

Kansas City Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas City has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,773 points/1,342 shots) this season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Kansas City has allowed 70.9 points per game (1,773 points/25 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 73.3

Kansas City has allowed 7.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

Kansas City has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (664 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 10.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.