Dodgers vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 28

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(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:27 AM
  • Dodgers / Rangers TV Channel: SNLA | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

This season, the Dodgers are 5-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 3-2 ATS.

Dodgers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Dodgers-125
Rangers +105

Dodgers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.95 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Dodgers are 5-1 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 63.04% ROI).

  • 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 43.67% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 27.41% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -33.59% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 13.79% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 39.17% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -60.58% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 48.72% ROI

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is making his MLB debut today.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cody Bradford has limited playing time.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Dodgers are 41-16 (.719) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Dodgers were 44-17 (.721) after a loss in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers were 85-9 (.904) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .776 (1,953 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (6,333 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Daniel Hudson (Los Angeles Dodgers): Knee, Out
  • Enrique Hernandez (Los Angeles Dodgers): Groin, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.