Drake vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

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Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 10:55 AM
  • Drake (10-8) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (9-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Drake / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Drake Bulldogs (10-8) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (9-9) on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Drake vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Drake vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Drake-7.5 -105O 140.5 -110-300
Missouri State +7.5 -115U 140.5 -110+240

Drake vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Drake vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+4.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 2.57% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -9.14% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -9.57% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 3.46% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (314 assists/ 182 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (314 assists/ 182 TOs) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Drake is shooting 49% (552/1,120) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Drake has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,515 points/1,120 shots) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has averaged 67.3 points per game (3,430 points/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Missouri State has 539 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has 556 defensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/19 games) this season — 2nd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,475 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Drake has 127 steals this season — tied for 5th fewest among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,504 points/3,039 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Drake has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,504 points/3,039 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,323 points/1,187 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Missouri State has averaged 4.3 steals per game (81 steals/19 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (126/417) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri State has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (180 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.