Duke vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. Florida State won 71-64.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:14 AM
  • Duke (13-10) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Florida State (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Duke / Florida State TV channel: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils (13-10) visit Donald L. Tucker Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles (12-11) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Duke vs. Florida State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Duke-5.5 -110O 152.5 -115-250
Florida State +5.5 -110U 152.5 -105+200

Duke vs Florida State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+11.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.58% ROI).

  • 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -4.95% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -12.33% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.4% ROI

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -8.17% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -16.23% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has a TS% of 46% this season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (292/430) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Florida State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (335/489) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida State has averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (204 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida State has 209 steals this season — 2nd most among ACC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.