Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:22 AM
  • Duke (14-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Miami (FL) (13-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Duke / Miami (FL) TV channel: ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils (14-10) visit Watsco Center to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (13-11) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Coral Gables, FL.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Duke vs. Miami (FL) Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Duke-6.5 -110O 150.5 -110-300
Miami (FL) +6.5 -110U 150.5 -110+230

Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Miami (FL) vs Duke and all games with BetMGM


  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+10.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+7.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 22 games at home (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 10.91% ROI).

  • 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.35 Units / -15.85% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.9% ROI

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.2% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -6.49% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units / 2.62% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) is shooting 78% from the free throw line (825/1,060) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Miami (FL) is shooting 47% (660/1,392) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Miami (FL) has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami (FL) is shooting 49% (1,071/2,179) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (639 rebounds/23 games) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Miami (FL) has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,649 points/1,452 shots) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Miami (FL) has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 28th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (197/646) this season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.