East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

Citadel guard Elijah Morgan (4) looks to pass during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against North Carolina Tuesday, Dec. 13, 2022, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
  • The Citadel (13-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs East Tennessee State (13-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • East Tennessee State / The Citadel TV channel: ESPN+

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (13-14) visit McAlister Field House to take on the The Citadel Bulldogs (13-12) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charleston, SC.

The Citadel is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Tennessee State+1.5 -120O 134.5 -105-105
The Citadel -1.5 +100U 134.5 -115-115

East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts The Citadel will win this college basketball game with 54.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

East Tennessee State vs The Citadel Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts East Tennessee State will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Citadel have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Citadel has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -8.24% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -11.02% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

The Citadel Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

The Citadel has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -23.05% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -15.36% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 6.83% ROI

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (281 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

East Tennessee State has an eFG% of 46% this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

East Tennessee State is shooting 29% from three (175/601) this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Tennessee State is shooting 31% from three (378/1,234) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

The Citadel Offensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel is shooting 74% from the free throw line (695/938) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 71%

The Citadel has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (272 turnovers/24 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Citadel has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9

The Citadel is shooting 72% from the free throw line (307/424) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 70%

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has 165 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (165 steals/23 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.6

East Tennessee State has averaged 6.5 steals per game (360 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

East Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (548/1,313) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 43%

The Citadel Defensive Stats & Trends:

The Citadel has averaged 5.2 steals per game (126 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Citadel has averaged 5.4 steals per game (302 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Citadel has forced 10.2 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Citadel has allowed 70.0 points per game (1,679 points/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.