Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

min read
Mount St. Mary's head coach Dan Engelstad directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 16, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:30 AM
  • Fairfield (14-15) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mount St. Mary’s (12-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Fairfield / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags (14-15) visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (12-18) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Emmitsburg, MD.

Fairfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fairfield-1.5 +100O 148.5 -110-110
Mount St. Mary’s +1.5 -120U 148.5 -110-110

Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+20.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Fairfield have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -7.99% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.9 Units / 20.28% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +7.95 Units / 24.92% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.95 Units / -34.33% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 12-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -18.78% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has attempted 592 threes this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has made 217 three-pointers this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (705 assists/ 755 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Mount St. Mary’s has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (705 assists/ 755 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has averaged 8.0 steals per game (193 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Fairfield has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (325/1,061) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Fairfield has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Fairfield has 193 steals this season — 2nd most among MAAC Teams

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,557 points/1,262 shots) this season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.7

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 70.8 points per game (1,557 points/22 games) this season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.