Florida State vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:47 AM
  • Florida State (11-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Louisville (9-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Florida State / Louisville TV channel: ACCN

The Florida State Seminoles (11-8) visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals (9-11) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Florida State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Florida State vs. Louisville Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State-5.5 -105O 150.5 -110-210
Louisville +5.5 -115U 150.5 -110+175

Florida State vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this college basketball game with 68.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida State vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+9.35 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+2.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 0.92% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -12.26% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.05 Units / -13.17% ROI).

  • 6-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -3.49% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.07% ROI

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 1.23 points per shot (2,209 points/1,802 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Florida State is shooting 33% from three (202/615) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Florida State has averaged 12.9 assists per game (258 assists/20 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Florida State has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 4.5 assists per game (240 assists/53 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (210 assists/ 283 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (240 assists/ 406 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (523 assists/ 740 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (382 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Florida State has 185 steals this season — most among ACC Teams

Florida State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (185 steals/20 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Florida State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (263/718) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 4.8 steals per game (257 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (743/1,590) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,958 points/1,590 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.12

Louisville has averaged 4.8 steals per game (257 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.