Florida State vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • Pittsburgh (17-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Florida State (14-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Florida State / Pittsburgh TV channel: ESPN2

The Florida State Seminoles (14-14) visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (17-9) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.

Pittsburgh is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Florida State vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+7.5 -110O 148.5 -110+260
Pittsburgh -7.5 -110U 148.5 -110-350

Florida State vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida State vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+2.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+1.90 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -10.85% ROI).

  • 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -16.93% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 18.5% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.8 Units / -27.59% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 22.12% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 5.04% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 5.97% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -14.06% ROI

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has a TS% of 46% this season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (292/430) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Florida State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (335/489) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Florida State has averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has attempted 308 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has attempted 619 threes this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 276 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (204 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida State has 209 steals this season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (159/527) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.3 steals per game (127 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.