Florida vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:13 PM
  • Tennessee (6-9) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Florida (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • Florida / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN2

The Florida Gators (6-9) visit Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (6-9) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Knoxville, TN.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Florida vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+9.5 -105O 159.5 -110+360
Tennessee -9.5 -115U 159.5 -110-500

Florida vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+2.10 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / -100% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.85 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -100% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.2 offensive rebounds per game (260 rebounds/16 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Florida is shooting 66% from the free throw line (270/410) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Florida has attempted 1,061 shots this season — most among SEC Teams

Florida is shooting 66% from the free throw line (161/245) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (592 assists/ 365 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has averaged 16.8 assists per game (873 assists/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.8

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (428 assists/ 273 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (873 assists/ 610 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (216 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Florida has averaged 7.1 steals per game (113 steals/16 games) this season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,334 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Florida has averaged 6.9 steals per game (338 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 56.4 points per game (1,805 points/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 66.6

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (320/1,149) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (619/1,752) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (187/716) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.