Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 10:54 AM
  • Air Force (7-15) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (9-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Fresno State / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (9-13) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (7-15) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO.

Air Force is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Fresno State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+1.5 -115O 132.5 -105+100
Air Force -1.5 -105U 132.5 -115-120

Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -13.75% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 7-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI).

  • 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -15.7% ROI
  • 16-6 when betting the Over for +9.4 Units / 39% ROI
  • 6-16 when betting the Under for -11.7 Units / -48.15% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 32% from three (358/1,117) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (670 assists/ 655 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (288 assists/ 297 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (297 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has made 8.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Air Force has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (320 assists/ 265 TOs) this season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Air Force has averaged 68.0 points per game (1,428 points/21 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.3

Air Force has an eFG% of 54% this season — 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (401/1,065) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed 7.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fresno State has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (543 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (599/1,319) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (1,480 points/1,128 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/21 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,208 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (599 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.