Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 10:09 AM
  • Nevada (19-9) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Fresno State / Nevada TV channel: CBSSN

The Fresno State Bulldogs (12-15) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (19-9) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Reno, NV.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+14.5 -110O 137.5 -115+800
Nevada -14.5 -110U 137.5 -105-1400

Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+11.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -18.41% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 20-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.25 Units / 36.65% ROI).

  • 23-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.95 Units / 14.6% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Over for -7.75 Units / -25.08% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Under for +4.95 Units / 16.12% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (680 assists/ 674 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has 16.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/492) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (410/1,097) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (625/1,378) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fresno State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.